COVID-19: the peak of the 2nd wave has undoubtedly been crossed in France

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The peak of the second wave of COVID-19 has probably been crossed in France, announced Friday the health authorities, one of the officials even evoking an "exit of the tunnel" in sight with the imminent arrival of vaccines, while the Prime Minister considered probable a reopening of certain small businesses "around December 1st".

According to the French public health agency (SpF), the current results show a clear decrease in all indicators, more marked in the first metropolises placed under curfew.

SpF believes that these measures have had a direct effect, as seems to prove the time between the implementation of the first curfew and the reversal of the trend ten days later.

But even though the peak has passed, the agency called for remain very vigilant, because crossing the epidemic peak does not at all mean the end of the epidemic, we have just passed a milestone.

The first curfews were introduced on October 17 in certain metropolises (including Paris, Lyon and Marseille), at the time when the All Saints' Day holidays began – which is celebrated on November 1 in France. The second round of curfews began in other cities (including Nice) on October 24. Then the confinement took effect throughout France from October 30.

A crêperie closed in France.

A closed crêperie in the center of Saint-Malo, in western France, as part of measures to fight the COVID-19 pandemic.

Photo: Getty Images / DAMIEN MEYER

For the week of November 9 to 15, the number of new confirmed cases (-40%), hospitalizations (-13%) and intensive care admissions (-9%) is down.

The number of deaths seems to stabilize for the first time after several weeks of increase : 3756 for the week of November 9 to 15, against 3817 the previous one. The total toll is heavy, with nearly 47,000 deaths.

It's also the first time since the start of the second wave that hospitalizations and admissions to intensive care have decreased from one week to the next, according to SpF: 17,390 against 19,940 the previous week for the first, and 2,761 against 3,037 for the second.

Finally, <q data-attributes = '{"lang": {"value": "fr", "label": "Français"}, "value": {"html": "182783 new cases of COVID-19 have been confirmed by RT-PCR and antigen tests "," text ":" 182,783 new cases of COVID-19 have been confirmed by RT-PCR and antigen tests "}} 'lang =" en”>182,783 new cases of COVID-19 have been confirmed by RT-PCR and antigen tests the week of November 9 to 15, compared to 305,135 the previous week. The positivity rate for RT-PCR tests (proportion of the number of positive cases) is also declining (16.2% against 19.7%).

Despite these improvements, the maintenance of preventive measures remains relevant, insists SpF, while waiting for treatments and vaccines.

The exit of the tunnel

In this regard, the president of the Scientific Council who guides the government's choices, Jean-François Delfraissy, said to see the exit of the tunnel with the arrival of vaccines against COVID-19.

As for the circulation of the virus, it remains important and we will not be able to reach a “ normal '' situation at the time of the end of year holidays. At best, the epidemic could slow down to the desired level of 5,000 contaminations per day, rather after Christmas, or even early January, according to him.

Thursday evening, the Minister of Health Olivier Véran warned that the confinement was not not finished and that he was not no news to deconfin the country.

In the meantime, the government is seeking to gradually loosen the grip, in particular on certain small businesses, which could reopen around December 1st provided that health indicators continue to improve, according to Prime Minister Jean Castex. He set a second condition that health protocols are adapted, concerted with the profession.

Read also :

  • But what is France doing about COVID-19?
  • Analysis- Why France must reconfigure itself


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