Trump and Biden battle for Florida, quintessential hub state

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Joëlle Girard (access the author's page)

Five days before the presidential election, Donald Trump and Joe Biden are both holding rallies in Florida, the pivotal state par excellence that the outgoing president must win if he wishes to be reappointed for a second term in the 3 November.

The importance given to Florida at the end of the campaign by the two candidates is indicative of the decisive weight that the state occupies in this election. Since 1928, only two presidential candidates from all parties have been elected without winning Florida.

Even more, a victory for Donald Trump is in fact difficult to imagine without this heavyweight of the Electoral College, which has 29 electors out of the 270 necessary to access the White House.

Aware of the crucial role of Florida voters for this poll – of which he is not the favorite, if we are to believe the polls – Donald Trump appeared in Tampa in great shape on Thursday. Accompanied by his wife Melania, a rare occurrence since the start of the campaign, he has shown himself as a champion of the economy thanks to the latest figures on the American gross domestic product (GDP).

Donald Trump kisses Melania on the cheek under a blue sky.

The first lady spoke briefly at the campaign rally in Florida on Thursday, five days before polling day.

Photo: dpa via getty images / Brendan Smialowski

In five days we will win Florida, we will win four more years! launched the American president, wearing a red cap Make America Great Again, in front of an imposing crowd who came to listen to him.

He quickly seized the record rise of 33.1% of GDP in the third quarter, announced a few hours earlier, to promise a year 2021 under the same sign of growth, on condition of course of being re-elected.

No country has numbers like these, he hammered, praising a explosive economic growth.

However, this figure, as spectacular as it is, comes after an equally historic plunge of 31.4% in the spring. And it was primarily supported by the generous financial support of the federal government to households and businesses in the face of the pandemic, aid which has now mostly ended.

Difficult to court seniors in the midst of a pandemic

Struggling in Wisconsin and Michigan – two states he won extremely narrowly in 2016 ahead of Hillary Clinton – Donald Trump cannot afford to lose Florida as well if he wants to hope for a second term.

A victory for Joe Biden in the great southeastern state, where the results are expected to be announced early enough on the evening of November 3, could quickly end the suspense of election night.

However, the two septuagenarians are neck and neck in this state. According to the latest NBC News / Marist Poll, published Thursday morning, Joe Biden has a slight lead of 51% against 47% for Donald Trump.

Notable fact: the Democratic candidate has a marked lead among those 65 and over (53% against 46%), who represent one in five Floridians.

Many polls show a worrying setback for the Republican candidate within this category of the population, who played a key role in his 2016 victory. This situation is not unrelated to his management of the COVID-19 pandemic, which particularly threatens seniors.

Trump ulcerated by COVID-19

On Wednesday, the United States announced more than 81,000 new infections – a peak since March – and 1,030 deaths in 24 hours. Florida is also one of the states most affected by COVID-19 since the start of the pandemic. These days, it is even the state with the most deaths in absolute numbers.

Nationwide, there are now more than 227,000 deaths since the start of the pandemic.

However, Donald Trump continues to downplay the gravity of the situation and is now openly upset by the too much attention he has paid to this virus. Everywhere he goes, the American president also mobilizes considerable crowds who are, most often, little concerned with wearing a mask and social distancing.

He makes the size of these gatherings his main campaign asset. And, at the slightest opportunity, he mocks his opponent, Joe Biden, unable according to him to arouse the same enthusiasm.

Masked, Joe Biden walks in front of supporters in a car.

Joe Biden was campaigning in Coconut Creek on the east coast of Florida on Thursday.

Photo: Reuters / Brian Snyder

The Democratic candidate was also in Coconut Creek, north of Miami, Thursday, for a rally in the formula " drive-in ". His supporters therefore came to listen to him in the car to avoid spreading COVID-19.

Much more in the background since the start of the campaign, Joe Biden, who has hardly left his small town of Wilmington, Delaware, is putting forward the need to respect health regulations and to lead by example.

<q data-attributes = "{" lang ": {" value ":" fr "," label ":" Français "}," value ": {" html ":" The refusal of the Trump administration to recognize the reality that we are going through, while nearly 1000Americans die every day, every day, is an insult to every person who suffers from COVID-19 and every family who has lost a loved one, "" text ":" The Trump administration's refusal to recognize the reality that we crossing, as nearly 1,000 Americans die every day, every day, is an insult to every person who suffers from COVID-19 and every family who has lost a loved one "}}" lang = "en”>The Trump administration's refusal to recognize the reality we live in, as nearly 1,000 Americans die every day, every day, is an insult to every person who suffers from COVID-19 and every family who has lost a loved one, he notably launched Wednesday.

Yesterday, Dr Anthony Fauci, who is director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, signaled that a return to normal is unlikely until 2022, a position at odds with that of Donald Trump.

COVID-19: what to know "width =" 100%

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  • Which key states will make Trump or Biden the president of the United States?
With information from CNN, and Agence France-Presse

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